035 Altri Production Costs Overview - European Stocks - Portuguese Stock Picks

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Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1

35:02

The healing power of fitness goes far beyond physical benefits—for today’s guest, it’s a form of self-expression and a celebration of what the body can do. In this episode, host Nora McInerny sits down with fitness personality Ivylis Rivera, who shares her deeply personal journey of navigating life with Chronic Migraine while holding onto her passion for movement. Ivylis opens up about the struggle of staying active while facing the fear of triggering a headache or migraine attack and the resilience it takes to keep pushing forward—a resilience that carried her through the challenging journey of finding a Chronic Migraine treatment plan that worked for her. Join Nora and Ivylis as they explore the concept of “soft living,” a philosophy Ivylis embraces—staying active, listening to your body, and building trust in oneself. Click here for Product Information, including Boxed Warning and Medication Guide, or visit https://abbv.ie/prescribing_info See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.…

4 роки тому 9:49

M4A•Головна епізоду

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/altri-production-costs-overview

0:00 Intro

0:17 Summary

3:30 Altri production costs

7:54 Summing it up

9:05 Action points

Summary

Altri produces mainly BHKP, most of which BEKP;
Altri’s operational costs are ~500€/ton;
Its operational efficiency gains are getting more and more limited.

Action points

Is the product that my companies make a commodity?
What’s the production cost of the commodity producers in my portfolio?
Are gains from operational efficiencies being exhausted, slowing/eliminating future gains?

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36 епізодів

#Trading #Business #Stock Picking Insights

035 Altri Production Costs Overview - European Stocks - Portuguese Stock Picks

Stock Picking Insights | Conservative Investing | Audio Support for stockpickinginsights.com

published 4 роки тому

Поширити

M4A•Головна епізоду

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/altri-production-costs-overview

0:00 Intro

0:17 Summary

3:30 Altri production costs

7:54 Summing it up

9:05 Action points

Summary

Altri produces mainly BHKP, most of which BEKP;
Altri’s operational costs are ~500€/ton;
Its operational efficiency gains are getting more and more limited.

Action points

Is the product that my companies make a commodity?
What’s the production cost of the commodity producers in my portfolio?
Are gains from operational efficiencies being exhausted, slowing/eliminating future gains?

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1

Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/

Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights

Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights

--- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message

36 епізодів

#Trading #Business #Stock Picking Insights

Minden epizód

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1
036 Investing in Timber vs Buying Pulp Stocks - European Stocks - Portuguese Stock Picks 12:18

4 years тому12:18

12:18

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/investing-in-timber-vs-buying-pulp-stocks 00:00 Intro 00:12 Summary 3:00 Investing in timber: oligopoly controls the market 4:58 There is also geographical concentration… 6:43 Final remarks 11:45 Action points Summary Portugal is a huge Eucalyptus Globulus producer; Portuguese timber investors depend on Navigator and Altri; Pulp makers have other dependencies, like BHKP prices and China. Action points Do the companies I own depend on a few customers? Do the commodities I own really protect me against inflation? Am I blindly expecting land to protect me against inflation? If so, will it really? Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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1
035 Altri Production Costs Overview - European Stocks - Portuguese Stock Picks 9:49

4 years тому9:49

9:49

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/altri-production-costs-overview 0:00 Intro 0:17 Summary 3:30 Altri production costs 7:54 Summing it up 9:05 Action points Summary Altri produces mainly BHKP, most of which BEKP; Altri’s operational costs are ~500€/ton; Its operational efficiency gains are getting more and more limited. Action points Is the product that my companies make a commodity? What’s the production cost of the commodity producers in my portfolio? Are gains from operational efficiencies being exhausted, slowing/eliminating future gains? Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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034 Inditex Shipping and Returns Analysis - Inditex Stock Analysis - European Stocks 19:18

4 years тому19:18

19:18

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/inditex-shipping-and-returns-analysis 00:00 Intro 00:10 Summary 03:15 Inditex shipping and returns: Europe 07:34 Inditex shipping and returns: United Kingdom (UK) 12:30 Inditex shipping and returns: United States (US) 15:16 To sum it up 18:19 Action points Summary Inditex (Zara) ships the fastest, and is the most flexible when it comes to returns; Nike has free shipping and return, supported by the price premium of its great brand; Boohoo competes well in its home country (UK) with its subscription service; H&M is similar to Zara, Uniqlo isn’t competitive and Shein is the typical low-cost retailer. Action points Are shipments and returns important for the companies in my portfolio? If yes,do the companies I own have defensible shipment/return competitive advantages? are they globally competitive, or only in their home country? are they offering differentiated services like same-day delivery, subscriptions or point schemes? What’s the impact of shipments and returns in my company’s margins? Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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1
033 Inditex Store Profitability per store, per m² - Inditex Stock Analysis - European Stocks 8:04

4 years тому8:04

8:04

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/inditex-store-profitability-per-store-per-m² 0:00 Intro 0:14 Summary 1:22 Inditex store profitability on a per store basis 3:31 Inditex store profitability on a per m² basis 5:51 Inditex profitability per concept, per m² 7:37 Action points Summary Inditex has an EBIT/store of 450k€, compared to H&M’s 275k€/store; Their revenue hovers around 5000€/m² of selling area, EBIT is 900€/m² and Net Income is 700€/m²; Zara’s physical profitability is healthy and it is the main Inditex brand to monitor. Action points What’s the revenue per m² of space for the companies I hold with physical presence? Is Zara working on further strengthening its brand? Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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032 Inditex Expansion of Physical Stores - Conservative, concentrated stock picking podcast 9:36

4 years тому9:36

9:36

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/inditex-expansion-of-physical-stores 0:00 Intro 0:14 Summary 4:10 Inditex expansion by physical store count 8:29 Action points Summary Stores play a logistics and advertising role today, being an important chess piece; There’s 94k potential store openings worldwide, with emphasis on China and U.S.; Inditex expansion potential is high because the fashion retail market is highly fragmented. Action points Do physical stores play a role in the companies I own, or are they liabilities? What’s the physical expansion potential of the companies I own? Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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031 Investing is a zero sum, selfish game - Conservative, concentrated stock picking podcast 5:10

4 years тому5:10

5:10

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/investing-is-a-zero-sum-selfish-game 0:00 Intro 0:18 Summary 2:15 Passive ownership = zero-sum 4:48 Action points Summary The company you own produces new goods and services, so it isn’t a zero-sum case; Passive ownership is useless to everyone but yourself; Entrepreneurship is a direct contribution to the world, unlike stock picking. Action points Do I care about contributing to the evolution of humanity? Are the companies that I own focused on producing goods and services? Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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030 Mcdonald’s expansion potential - Conservative, concentrated stock picking - Insights Podcast 11:41

4 years тому11:41

11:41

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/mcdonalds-expansion-potential 00:00 Intro 00:15 Summary 01:59 Mcdonald’s expansion due to volume 03:32 Mcdonald’s expansion sensitivity analysis 10:01 To sum it up Summary The U.S. is the benchmark of restaurants per 100K, with a value of ~4; China is 1/3 to 1/2 of the potential restaurant count upside; Almost all of the restaurant count growth comes from developing countries with low ARPU’s. Action points How is MCD’s china expansion working out? What top line growth do I expect of MCD? Where will it come from? Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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029 Stock Analysis Checklist: Updated Version - Concentrated Stock Picker - Stock picking Insights 4:36

4 years тому4:36

4:36

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/stock-analysis-checklist-updated-version 0:00 Intro 1:20 A few quick notes 3:24 Stock analysis checklist: latest questions Because new analyses were made since then, new questions came in too. This is an update to that checklist, and here’s the updated pdf I promised. Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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028 Shareholder Focused Companies? No, thanks - Podcast and articles for long-term stock pickers 16:03

4 years тому16:03

16:03

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/shareholder-focused-companies-no-thanks 00:00 Intro 00:12 Summary 02:11 Facebook’s shareholder focused approach 05:47 Alphabet: shareholder focused or not? 12:14 To end… 15:22 Action points Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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027 Bitcoin Disruption in Financial Services - Investing Podcast for Stock Pickers 26:44

4 years тому26:44

26:44

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/bitcoin-disruption-in-financial-services 00:00 Intro 00:13 Summary 02:34 Bitcoin disruption: merchant side 07:07 Credit cards, fraud and privacy 09:04 Bye Paypal, bye Wise, bye Revolut 11:36 Bitcoin disruption via Lightning Network (Strike) 20:03 Competition is good 25:57 Action points Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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026 The Impact of Dividend in Total Returns - Stock Picking Insights - Investing Podcast and Written Articles 10:52

4 years тому10:52

10:52

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/the-impact-of-dividend-in-total-returns 00:00 Intro 01:15 Summary 02:17 Impact of dividend distributions: the good and the bad 07:25 Do you want risk or return? The impact of dividend in your portfolio 10:05 Action points Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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025 S&P 500 Historical Returns with Dividends - Stock Picking Insights - Conservative Investing 10:12

4 years тому10:12

10:12

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/sp-500-historical-returns-with-dividends 00:00 Intro 00:27 Should we look at historical returns with or without dividends? 01:29 Accumulating (Acc) v Distributing (Dist) ETF’s 04:15 A look at S&P 500 historical returns with dividends 05:24 What about over a 20 year period? 08:25 40 Year rolling S&P 500 CAGR Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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024 S&P 500 Rolling Returns 10, 20 and 40 years - Stock Picking Insights - Conservative Investing 9:06

4 years тому9:06

9:06

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/sp500-rolling-returns-10-20-and-40-years 0:00 Intro 0:23 Why bother as a stock picker? 1:48 S&P 500 Rolling 10 Year Returns 4:40 A bigger picture: 20 Year Returns 6:43 The ultimate boss: 40 year S&P 500 CAGR’s Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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023 Return on Capital Formula Conservative Approach - Stock Picking Insights -Conservative Investing 11:51

4 years тому11:51

11:51

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/return-on-capital-formula-conservative-approach 00:00 Intro 00:27 Return on capital by Joel Greenblatt 02:18 What’s the problem with return on capital? 04:33 So, is ROE and ROCE ok? 05:58 My return on capital proposal 09:04 To end… Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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022 DCF Alternative Reinvested Capital - DCF Model vs Reinvested Capital Model - Stock Picking 16:14

4 years тому16:14

16:14

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/dcf-alternative-reinvested-capital 00:00 Intro 00:22 Quick DCF model overview 02:03 DCF alternatives that are not CAPM related 05:00 The DCF alternative is: reinvested capital 08:36 DCF alternative: assumptions and adjustments 11:12 Where is the money going? 14:04 Summing up reinvested capital model as a DCF alternative The reinvested capital model is meant to be used in growth companies, such as FAANG stocks. Reinvested capital model is a DCF alternative for companies that reinvest into their business, so it doesn’t make sense to use with companies that aren’t expected to grow. It uses returns on capital, so by definition it penalizes companies with lots of debt and cash (some people don’t throw cash into ROC, I conservatively do). It favours companies that reinvest back into the business. I love it because reinvesting profits for growth is my favourite capital allocation option. It is riskier for an investor than to distribute it, but more rewarding if the company has a long-term competitive advantage. An exception to this is reinvesting heavily into non-core businesses. Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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021 Spotify Churn Rate a 39% Hurdle - Stock Picking Insights - Investing Podcast 10:34

4 years тому10:34

10:34

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/spotify-churn-rate-39-hurdle 00:00 Intro 00:12 Spotify doesn’t fully disclose churn rates 03:41 Spotify churn rate sensitivity analysis 06:53 Final remarks Spotify churn rates are just one of the forces that move revenues, although a concerning one: a 39% hurdle. If these assumptions are right, they are 10 to 20% short in revenue growth. Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #podcast #stockpicking #stocks #business #investingtips #investingstrategy #investing #fundamentalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #pod #podcasts #businesspodcast #investingpodcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvesting #fintwit #stockpicks --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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020 Conservative Investing Measures for Stock Pickers - Stock Picking Insights - Investing Podcast 10:37

4 years тому10:37

10:37

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/conservative-investing-measures-for-stock-pickers 00:00 Intro 00:24 Basic guidelines for conservative investing 01:58 Accounting for inflation in conservative investing 04:36 Getting specific 07:25 Normalize some things, but not others 10:04 Summing it up Conservative investing is playing on the safer side and widening the margin of safety. The main focus is to protect purchasing power. There are quantiative measures you can do to make valutaions more conservative such as normalizing. Qualitatively, a conservative investor pays less for what he/she doesn’t know and vice-versa. Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights #investing #business #stockpicking #stocks #stockpicks #stockmarkettips #stockinvesting #stockmarket #stockmarketinvesting #stock #stocktips #stockinvestment #stockpickinginsights #capm #costofopportunity #podcast #youtube #spotify #conservativeinvestor --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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019 Twitter mDAU doesn’t tell the whole story - Stock Picking Insights - Conservative Investing 9:47

4 years тому9:47

9:47

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/twitter-mdau-doesnt-tell-the-whole-story 0:00 Intro 1:36 From Twitter MAU to Twitter mDAU: History 6:25 Can mDAU substitute MAU? We will take a look at part of Twitter’s user growth history by analysing Twitter mDAU and MAU. The objective is to analyse the company as a potential investment. One of the most important metrics in a social media advertising company is user growth. User growth allows the same ad space to reach more people, as explained when Facebook was analysed from a quantiative standpoint. It also increases network effects due to the volume of content created and data collected. Rising mDAU is great because it means that users are engaging more with the platform than before. But it doesn’t necessarily mean that the total number of users accessing Twitter is growing (MAU). We can have rising mDAU with decreasing MAU, which is comparable to cost reductions in a business: how much more can you squeeze? Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecB... Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickin... --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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018 Indexing as a stock picker: what to do with parked cash - Stock Picking Insights Podcast 9:46

4 years тому9:46

9:46

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/index... 0:00 Intro 1:04 Why aren’t you buying the stock? 2:56 Indexing as an alternative 8:45 Conclusion Indexing can be an alternative for a stock picker with parked cash. Is this a good idea? Depending on the type of investor you are, you may be holding a hot potato (cash). And indexing may not help if you usually buy large-cap growth stocks, based on the historical performance of S&P 500. Bonds are not a good place to be either, and all these issues combined bid stock prices higher. Are you confortable holding cash? What alternatives do you use to stock picking? Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecB... Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickin... --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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017 Inditex Growth - Future Profit Streams - In Depth Analysis- Stock Picking Insights 32:53

4 years тому32:53

32:53

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/indit... 00:00 Intro 00:19 Where does Inditex growth in profits come from? 05:06 Volume as a revenue source 09:28 Pricing and pricing power 14:04 Inditex growth from product mix 17:16 Inditex growth in profit from cost reductions 18:36 Headcount savings 23:45 Profiting for a longer period 29:32 Putting it all together Today we are going to estimate Inditex growth rates based on future profit streams. It will be heavier on the quantitative side, and I recommend you to check the qualitative analysis first . Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecB... Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickin... --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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016 Alphabet Growth Potential: 3 Main Sources of revenue - Stock Picking Insights Podcast 13:17

4 years тому13:17

13:17

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/alphabet-growth-potential-3-main-sources 00:00 Intro 00:18 Alphabet growth from industry shifts 02:34 Shifts from physical to cloud 07:31 Alphabet growth from Youtube 10:19 Unmeasurable sources of revenue 11:36 Conclusion Today we're analysing Alphabet growth sources, particularly the three that are measurable and most significant . New revenue: Industry shifts - digitalization: 70-80B$ Industry shifts - cloud: 30B$ Youtube - MAU growth: 30-50B$ Total: 130-160B$ To end, and summing up the sources of revenue we talked about, there's at least 130B$ of new revenue for Alphabet coming in until 2030 , a 6% CAGR for Alphabet growth in revenue. Is it probably higher? Yes due to the conservative estimates and unmeasurable sources of revenue. Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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015 Alphabet’s Qualitative Factors - Stock Picking Insights - Conservative Investing Podcast 19:52

4 years тому19:52

19:52

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/alphabets-qualitative-factors/ 00:00 Intro 00:19 Alphabet's qualitative premises 01:45 Business model 03:45 Alphabet's qualitative advantages 07:41 Youtube purchase in 2006 08:49 Great business management 12:12 Free products with indirect benefits 15:08 Alphabet's qualitative hurdles 19:04 Conclusion Alphabet's qualitative factors share a considerate part with one of its advertising competitors, Facebook . What makes this company so successful for so long? We're laying it out today. Alphabet's qualitative factors make it a great company indeed, at the right price. Their biggest competitive advantages are network effects and talent attraction. Great talent then leads to great products and innovation. Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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014 Measuring Facebook's Growth Potential from a conservative standpoint - Stock Picking Insights 25:43

4 years тому25:43

25:43

Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/facebooks-growth-potential/ 00:00 Intro 00:14 Facebook's ad engine 02:00 Where does Facebook's growth in revenue come from? 02:36 First branch: Growth from users 04:43 MAU and Total Addressable Market 07:50 Inflation and user spending 08:40 Second branch: Facebook's growth from relevance 11:37 Third branch: Advertisers 14:41 Forecasting Facebook's growth 15:13 1. How many new users do you expect? 18:07 2. How much market share will Facebook grab from offline advertising? 20:45 3. What multiple will the business be worth in 10 years? 21:47 4. How much does ad relevance contribute to Facebook's growth? 23:20 Conclusion This is my attempt at forecasting Facebook's growth in the next 10 years, and therefore it is a quantitative analysis. If you'd like to check the qualitative analysis, click here . All of the factors above excluding the 4th result in Facebook's top line doubling in 10 years, a 7.2% CAGR. If we assume ad relevance will contribute to 10% of the growth, it becomes a 8% CAGR. I also don't see net margins contracting, so I expect this 8% CAGR to bleed down to Net Income and consequently stock price (capital gains). This growth is net of inflation, due to the business model being spending friendly as explained before. But considering that EV/NI will contract at a -2% CAGR over 10 years (31x to 25x), it leaves us at a 5-6% pretax CAGR at the current price of 320$/share. There's a ton of talk about AR/VR, and also a lot of investment. I value it at 0 for now and focus on the core . The same goes for payment revenues. We get those two for free. Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2uFjecBDw6KDEYA6Zbk7ah?si=aOPLtnfPRnuhdaEF_eMeZw&nd=1 Website: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ Facebook: https://fb.com/stockpickinginsights Twitter: https://twitter.com/stockpinsights Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stockpickinginsights --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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013 Qualitative Analysis of Facebook 14:29

4 years тому14:29

14:29

Written post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/qualitative-analysis-of-facebook/ As we did with Inditex , let's start with the basic premises around this business: People like to be entertained. If you think about Facebook and Instagram from a user perspective, what we are doing when scrolling is actually entertaining our minds with the affairs of others. What is this person doing? How will this girl do this trickshot? We, mostly unconsciously, have the need to fill in the blanks of our day. I'm not saying this is healthy by the way; Social Media is a by definition a place where many people go. Being a "stage", it attracts various types of people. Firstly, business owners. They want to be where people are, so they can interact with them and sell their products. Then, attention seekers for whatever reason. For someone wanting to rant, they will want to be where people will actually listen; People need to communicate with each other. Even if I hated using the Facebook website, I still need to talk to my friends and family. That is why WhatsApp and Messenger have their own value, apart from Facebook and Instagram. It is a great business with competitive advantages. I'd say they are durable too, unless other disruptive platforms steal their lunch or they cannibalize themselves by destroying their brand image . Subscribe at http://stockpickinginsights.com/ --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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012 Disadvantages of per share values 6:42

4 years тому6:42

6:42

Written post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/ per-share-values-disadvantages / If you owned 100% of the business (paying enterprise value for every share outstanding) per share values wouldn’t even matter as you own every one of them. Also, buying back shares wouldn’t even be a capital allocation option. That is why I sweat when a company excessively buys back shares, I’d rather see them investing in their operations or, if they really have to distribute it and EV Multiples are too high, do it with a dividend. Subscribe at http://stockpickinginsights.com/ --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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011 Real Cost of Issuing Shares 8:53

4 years тому8:53

8:53

Use cost of opportunity instead of CAPM. Written post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/cost-of-issuing-shares-capm-alternative/ When a company issues shares, they likely need the money for their operations. But why not get a loan instead? Sometimes they can’t . Sometimes they consider share issuing to be less expensive . If you use beta in company valuations, CAPM may make sense for you. If not, use opportunity costs instead . As a thumb rule , I’d rather consider that an increase of shares outstanding of x% will approximately decrease my share of all future gains in x%, divided by my investing period to get an annualized rate. So if Facebook issues 10% of all shares outstanding and I expected a 8% Enterprise Value 10Y CAGR, I can now roughly expect a 8 – 10%/10 = 7% CAGR instead. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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010 Stock Picking Checklist 3:14

4 years тому3:14

3:14

My stock picking checklist, to help you cover your blindsides. Written post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/do-you-have-a-checklist/ I started building my checklist a long time ago, and from time to time I add some new questions to it. I use it in the final stage of analysing a company, it helps to mitigate unchecked aspects of a business and consequently make better investment decisions. Here it is, all of them are yes or no questions. You can also get it in a pdf by clicking here . --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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009 CAGR vs Average Growth 4:10

4 years тому4:10

4:10

Be wary of averages in your investing process, track record checking and news! Written post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/average-returns-mean-nothing/ I invite you to take a look at the table below and see the difference between average growth and actual CAGR . This is critical in the quantitative analysis of a company, for example when analysing sales growth. Averages are not all bad. I use averages when softening net income , for example. It is a conservative measure I use when I make my valutaions. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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008 Market Cap or Enterprise Value 4:44

4 years тому4:44

4:44

Careful when using PE Ratio, doesn't account for the company's debt Written post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/market-cap-enterprise-value/ I recommend you to use Enterprise Value because it accounts for the company’s debt. This means I use EV Ratio instead of PE Ratio in any analysis. You can think of EV Ratio as a debt adjusted PE Ratio . --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/stock-picking-insights/message…

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007 Investing in what you know 1:56

4 years тому1:56