Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Observations on Teaching for Four Weeks, published by ClareChiaraVincent on May 7, 2024 on LessWrong.I just finished a program where I taught two classes of high sch…

Cross-posted from my website. Podcast version here, or search for "Joe Carlsmith Audio" on your podcast app. This essay is part of a series that I'm calling "Otherness and control in the age of AGI." I'm hoping that the individual essays can be read fairly well on their own, but see here for brief summaries of the essays that have been released thu…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: How do open AI models affect incentive to race?, published by jessicata on May 7, 2024 on LessWrong.I see it said sometimes that open models contribute to AI race dy…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Rapid capability gain around supergenius level seems probable even without intelligence needing to improve intelligence, published by Towards Keeperhood on May 6, 20…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Explaining a Math Magic Trick, published by Robert AIZI on May 5, 2024 on LessWrong.IntroductionA recent popular tweet did a "math magic trick", and I want to explai…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Some Experiments I'd Like Someone To Try With An Amnestic, published by johnswentworth on May 5, 2024 on LessWrong.A couple years ago, I had a great conversation at …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Does reducing the amount of RL for a given capability level make AI safer?, published by Chris Leong on May 5, 2024 on LessWrong.Some people have suggested that a lo…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: introduction to cancer vaccines, published by bhauth on May 5, 2024 on LessWrong.cancer neoantigensFor cells to become cancerous, they must have mutations that cause…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: AI #61: Meta Trouble, published by Zvi on May 5, 2024 on LessWrong.Note by habryka: This post failed to import automatically from RSS for some reason, so it's a week…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Introducing AI-Powered Audiobooks of Rational Fiction Classics, published by Askwho on May 4, 2024 on LessWrong.(ElevenLabs reading of this post:)I'm excited to shar…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Now THIS is forecasting: understanding Epoch's Direct Approach, published by Elliot Mckernon on May 4, 2024 on LessWrong.Happy May the 4th from Convergence Analysis!…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: My hour of memoryless lucidity, published by Eric Neyman on May 4, 2024 on LessWrong.Yesterday, I had a coronectomy: the top halves of my bottom wisdom teeth were su…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Apply to ESPR & PAIR, Rationality and AI Camps for Ages 16-21, published by Anna Gajdova on May 4, 2024 on LessWrong.TLDR - Apply now toESPR andPAIR. ESPR welcomes s…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: "AI Safety for Fleshy Humans" an AI Safety explainer by Nicky Case, published by habryka on May 3, 2024 on LessWrong.Nicky Case, of "The Evolution of Trust" and "We …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Key takeaways from our EA and alignment research surveys, published by Cameron Berg on May 3, 2024 on LessWrong.Many thanks to Spencer Greenberg, Lucius Caviola, Jos…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: AI #62: Too Soon to Tell, published by Zvi on May 3, 2024 on LessWrong.What is the mysterious impressive new 'gpt2-chatbot' from the Arena? Is it GPT-4.5? A refineme…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Which skincare products are evidence-based?, published by Vanessa Kosoy on May 2, 2024 on LessWrong.The beauty industry offers a large variety of skincare products (…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Q&A on Proposed SB 1047, published by Zvi on May 2, 2024 on LessWrong.Previously: On the Proposed California SB 1047.Text of the bill is here. It focuses on safety r…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Please stop publishing ideas/insights/research about AI, published by Tamsin Leake on May 2, 2024 on LessWrong.Basically all ideas/insights/research about AI is pote…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: An explanation of evil in an organized world, published by KatjaGrace on May 2, 2024 on LessWrong.A classic problem with Christianity is the so-called 'problem of ev…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The Intentional Stance, LLMs Edition, published by Eleni Angelou on May 1, 2024 on LessWrong.In memoriam of Daniel C. Dennett.tl;dr: I sketch out what it means to ap…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: ACX Covid Origins Post convinced readers, published by ErnestScribbler on May 1, 2024 on LessWrong.ACX recently posted about the Rootclaim Covid origins debate, comi…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Shane Legg's necessary properties for every AGI Safety plan, published by jacquesthibs on May 1, 2024 on LessWrong.I've been going through the FAR AI videos from the…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: LessWrong Community Weekend 2024, open for applications, published by UnplannedCauliflower on May 1, 2024 on LessWrong.Main event pageFriday 13th September- Monday 1…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Questions for labs, published by Zach Stein-Perlman on May 1, 2024 on LessWrong.Associated with AI Lab Watch, I sent questions to some labs a week ago (except I fail…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Why I'm doing PauseAI, published by Joseph Miller on April 30, 2024 on LessWrong.GPT-5 training is probably starting around now. It seems very unlikely that GPT-5 wi…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Introducing AI Lab Watch, published by Zach Stein-Perlman on April 30, 2024 on LessWrong.I'm launching AI Lab Watch. I collected actions for frontier AI labs to impr…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Towards a formalization of the agent structure problem, published by Alex Altair on April 30, 2024 on LessWrong.In Clarifying the Agent-Like Structure Problem (2022)…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Towards Multimodal Interpretability: Learning Sparse Interpretable Features in Vision Transformers, published by hugofry on April 30, 2024 on LessWrong.Two Minute Su…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Ironing Out the Squiggles, published by Zack M Davis on April 29, 2024 on LessWrong.Adversarial Examples: A ProblemThe apparent successes of the deep learning revolu…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: List your AI X-Risk cruxes!, published by Aryeh Englander on April 29, 2024 on LessWrong.[I'm posting this as a very informal community request in lieu of a more det…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: [Aspiration-based designs] 1. Informal introduction, published by B Jacobs on April 29, 2024 on LessWrong.Sequence Summary. This sequence documents research by Satis…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: We are headed into an extreme compute overhang, published by devrandom on April 28, 2024 on LessWrong.If we achieve AGI-level performance using an LLM-like approach,…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: So What's Up With PUFAs Chemically?, published by J Bostock on April 27, 2024 on LessWrong.This is exploratory investigation of a new-ish hypothesis, it is not inten…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: From Deep Learning to Constructability: Plainly-coded AGIs may be feasible in the near future, published by Épiphanie Gédéon on April 27, 2024 on LessWrong.Charbel-R…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: D&D.Sci Long War: Defender of Data-mocracy, published by aphyer on April 27, 2024 on LessWrong.This is an entry in the 'Dungeons & Data Science' series, a set of puz…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: On Not Pulling The Ladder Up Behind You, published by Screwtape on April 27, 2024 on LessWrong.Epistemic Status: Musing and speculation, but I think there's a real t…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Duct Tape security, published by Isaac King on April 26, 2024 on LessWrong.This is a linkpost for On Duct Tape and Fence Posts.Eliezer writes about fence post securi…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Scaling of AI training runs will slow down after GPT-5, published by Maxime Riché on April 26, 2024 on LessWrong.My credence: 33% confidence in the claim that the gr…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Spatial attention as a "tell" for empathetic simulation?, published by Steven Byrnes on April 26, 2024 on LessWrong.(Half-baked work-in-progress. There might be a "v…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Losing Faith In Contrarianism, published by omnizoid on April 26, 2024 on LessWrong.Crosspost from my blog.If you spend a lot of time in the blogosphere, you'll find…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: LLMs seem (relatively) safe, published by JustisMills on April 26, 2024 on LessWrong.Post for a somewhat more general audience than the modal LessWrong reader, but g…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: WSJ: Inside Amazon's Secret Operation to Gather Intel on Rivals, published by trevor on April 25, 2024 on LessWrong.The operation, called Big River Services Internat…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: "Why I Write" by George Orwell (1946), published by Arjun Panickssery on April 25, 2024 on LessWrong.People have been posting great essays so that they're "fed throu…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The first future and the best future, published by KatjaGrace on April 25, 2024 on LessWrong.It seems to me worth trying to slow down AI development to steer success…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The Inner Ring by C. S. Lewis, published by Saul Munn on April 25, 2024 on LessWrong.Note: In @Nathan Young's words "It seems like great essays should go here and be…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: This is Water by David Foster Wallace, published by Nathan Young on April 25, 2024 on LessWrong.Note: It seems like great essays should go here and be fed through th…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Changes in College Admissions, published by Zvi on April 24, 2024 on LessWrong.This post brings together various questions about the college application process, as …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Is there software to practice reading expressions?, published by lsusr on April 24, 2024 on LessWrong.I took the Reading the Mind in the Eyes Test test today. I got …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: On what research policymakers actually need, published by MondSemmel on April 24, 2024 on LessWrong.I saw this guest post on the Slow Boring substack, by a former se…