Кращі подкасти про Causal (2024)

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Causal Inference & Financial Modeling with Alexander Denev Ep 14 | CausalBanditsPodcast.com 1:04:09

12d ago1:04:09

1:04:09

Video version available here Are markets efficient, and if not, can causal models help us leverage the inefficiencies? Do we really need to understand what we're modeling? What's the role of symmetry in modeling financial markets? What are the main challenges in applying causal models in finance? Ready to dive in? About The Guest Alexander Denev is…

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Causal Inference & Reinforcement Learning with Andrew Lampinen Ep 13 | CausalBanditsPodcast.com 55:24

26d ago55:24

55:24

Love Causal Bandits Podcast? Help us bring more quality content: Support the show Video version of this episode is available here Causal Inference with LLMs and Reinforcement Learning Agents? Do LLMs have a world model? Can they reason causally? What's the connection between LLMs, reinforcement learning, and causality? Andrew Lampinen, PhD (Google …

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53: Callide C Blackout 50:52

28d ago50:52

50:52

In 2021 the Callide C Power Station experienced a unit failure that tore the turbine-generator apart, resulted in hundreds of thousands of premises losing power, and cost hundreds of millions to repair. We look at how design errors and ultimately a lack of information led to the incident escalating out of control, when it could have been recovered.…

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Causal Inference, Clinical Trials & Randomization || Stephen Senn || Causal Bandits Ep. 012 (2024) 1:18:05

1M ago1:18:05

1:18:05

Support the show Video version available on YouTube Do We Need Probability? Causal inference lies at the very heart of the scientific method. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs; also known as randomized experiemnts or A/B tests) are often called "the golden standard for causal inference". It's a less known fact that randomized trials have their lim…

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Causal Models, Biology, Generative AI & RL || Robert Ness || Causal Bandits Ep. 011 (2024) 1:13:32

2M ago1:13:32

1:13:32

Support the show Video version available on YouTube Recorded on Nov 12, 2023 in Undisclosed location, Undisclosed location From Systems Biology to Causality Robert always loved statistics. He went to study systems biology, driven by his desire to model natural systems. His perspective on causal inference encompasses graphical models, Bayesian infer…

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Causal AI & Supply Chain || Ishansh Gupta || Causal Bandits Ep. 010 (2024) 58:16

2M ago58:16

58:16

Support the show Video version available on YouTube Recorded on Sep 27, 2023 in München, Germany From supply chain to large language models and back Ishansh realized the potential of data when he was just 10 years old, during his time as a junior cricket player. His journey led him to ask questions about the mechanisms behind the observed events. C…

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On Causal Inference in Fintech & Being an Author || Matheus Facure || Causal Bandits Ep. 009 (2024) 1:07:54

3M ago1:07:54

1:07:54

Support the show Video version of this episode is available on YouTube Recorded on Oct 15, 2023 in São Paulo, Brazil Causal Inference in Fintech? For Brave and True Only From rural Brazil to one of the country’s largest banks, Matheus’ journey could inspire many. Similarly to our previous guest, Iyar Lin, Matheus was interested in politics, but swi…

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Causal ML, Transparency & Time-Varying Treatments || Iyar Lin || Causal Bandits Ep. 008 (2024) 56:01

3M ago56:01

56:01

Support the show Video version available on YouTube Recorded on Sep 13, 2023 in Beit El'Azari, Israel The eternal dance between the data and the model Early in his career, Iyar realized that purely associative models cannot provide him with the answers to the questions he found most interesting. This realization laid the groundwork for his search f…

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[Extra]: Mosquitos, Pascal & Hedge Funds || A Walk with Darko Matovski, PhD (causaLens) in London (2024) 22:38

3M ago22:38

22:38

Support the show Video version available on YouTube Recorded on Sep 4, 2023 in London, UK A causal bet Darko's story begins in Eastern Europe, where his early attempts in building a business and the influence of early-stage role models shaped his attitudes and helped him move through challenging and lonely moments in his career. See how mosquitos, …

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Causal AI, Justin Bieber & Optimal Experiments || Jakob Zeitler || Causal Bandits Ep. 007 (2024) 1:08:36

4M ago1:08:36

1:08:36

Support the show Video version of this episode is available here Recorded on Sep 5, 2023 in Oxford, UK Have you ever wondered if we can answer seemingly unanswerable questions? Jakob's journey into causality started when he was 12 years old. Deeply dissatisfied with what adults had to offer when asked about the sources of causal knowledge, he start…

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Causal AI, Effect Heterogeneity & Understanding ML || Alicia Curth || Causal Bandits Ep. 006 (2023) 54:39

4M ago54:39

54:39

Support the show Video version available on YouTube Recorded on Nov 29, 2023 in Cambridge, UK Should we continue to ask why? Alicia's machine learning journey began with... causal machine learning. Starting with econometrics, she discovered semi-parametric methods and the Pearlian framework at later stages of her career and incorporated both in her…

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Causal AI & Dynamical Systems || Naftali Weinberger || Causal Bandits Ep. 005 (2023) 1:18:01

5M ago1:18:01

1:18:01

Support the show Video version available on YouTube Recorded on Aug 29, 2023 in München, Germany Can we meaningfully talk about causality in dynamical systems? Some people are puzzled when it comes to dynamical systems and the idea of causation. Dynamical systems well-known in physics, social sciences, and biology are often thought of as a special …

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52: Colonial Pipeline 26:12

5M ago26:12

26:12

In 2021 many of Colonial Pipelines IT systems were locked by malware and out of caution they shutdown the fuel pipelines feeding nearly half of the Eastern US leading to chaos at the gas pump and a state of emergency being declared. We look at how poor off-boarding hygiene led to an easily preventable cyber-attack. With John Chidgey. Hearing: Heari…

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Autonomous Driving, Causality & Long Tails || Daniel Ebenhöch || Causal Bandits Ep. 004 (2023) 52:11

5M ago52:11

52:11

Support the show Video version available on YouTube Recorded on Aug 27, 2023 in München, Germany Is Causality Necessary For Autonomous Driving? From a child experimenter to a lead engineer working on a general causal inference engine, Daniel's choices have been marked by intense curiosity and the courage to take risks. Daniel shares how working wit…

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Causality, Marketing & Simulations || Juan Orduz || Causal Bandits Ep. 003 (2023) 53:54

5M ago53:54

53:54

Support the show Video version available on YouTube Recorded on Aug 25, 2023 in Berlin, Germany Is Marketing Intrinsically Causal? After spending 5 years talking to mathematicians, Juan decided to look for new opportunities that would offer him more immediate impact on the world. Little did he know that this journey will lead him to become a Senior…

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Causality, Bayesian Modeling and PyMC || Thomas Wiecki || Causal Bandits Ep. 001 (2023) 58:16

6M ago58:16

58:16

Support the show Video version of this episode is available on YouTube Recorded on Aug 24, 2023 in Berlin, Germany Does Causality Align with Bayesian Modeling? Structural causal models share a conceptual similarity with the models used in probabilistic programming. However, there are important theoretical differences between the two. Can we bridge …

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Causal AI, Modularity & Learning || Andrew Lawrence || Causal Bandits Ep. 002 (2023) 1:24:22

6M ago1:24:22

1:24:22

Support the show `from causality import solution` Recorded on Sep 04, 2023 in London, United Kingdom A Python package that would allow us to address an arbitrary causal problem with a one-liner does not yet exist. Fortunately, there are other ways to implement and deploy causal solutions at scale. In this episode, Andrew shares his journey into cau…

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Causality, LLMs & Abstractions || Matej Zečević || Causal Bandits Ep. 000 (2023) 1:10:46

6M ago1:10:46

1:10:46

Support the show Video version of this episode available on YouTube Recorded on Aug 14, 2023 in Frankfurt, Germany Are Large Language Models (LLMs) causal? Some researchers have shown that advanced models like GPT-4 can perform very well on certain causal benchmarks. At the same time, from the theoretical point of view it's highly unlikely that the…

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51: I35 West 36:00

8M ago36:00

36:00

The I35W bridge over the Mississippi River carried 140,000 cars every day. Inspections in 1999 and 2003 showed damage to support plates that was dismissed as unimportant at the time. We look into how poor design checking and assumptions led to the bridge collapsing in 2007, costing the lives of 13 people. With John Chidgey. This show is Podcasting …

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50: 737 MAX Ethiopian Air 52:07

1y ago52:07

52:07

Five months after Lion Air 610 crashed, another 737-MAX went down with a similar cause. However the official report was at odds with two other internationally respected investigative organisations. We dig into the detail of how the AOA Sensor was claimed to have failed, and review checklist discrepancies to extract fact from opinion as to what most…

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49: Carmel Fireworks Explosion 29:04

1+ y ago29:04

29:04

A fireworks company in Western Australia that had been in business for nearly a century, were preparing for a fireworks display in their packing shed when one ignited and set off a fire and an explosion. Onlookers were shocked when there was a subsequent explosion that was so big it was heard 30 kilometers away leaving the facility in ruins. With J…

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48: Instituto Goiano de Radioterapia 33:09

1+ y ago33:09

33:09

When a radiation therapy machine was left behind during a move between buildings in central Brazil, it set in motion a series of events that would lead to one of the worst radiological incidents in history. We look into how bureaucracy and misdiagnosis cost four people their lives and how the actions of a concerned mother with no medical experience…

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47: Hyatt Regency Kansas City 41:31

2y ago41:31

41:31

The tallest building in Missouri with a large atrium perfect for big bands and dancing, hosted a regular Tea Dance in the summer of 1981. When two walkways collapsed killing over a hundred people, the investigators found multiple fundamental design errors. We look at how assumptions, redrafting conventions and negligence led to an incident that has…

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46: Mindbender 29:29

2y ago29:29

29:29

The longest, tallest, fastest indoor rollercoaster in the world was only open six months when the last carriage of a train came loose, killing three people and all that the day following an inspection that the ride was safe to operate. We look at how a design choice made maintenance more critical and then how wishing for a ride to be safe, doesn't …

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45: Granville 25:53

2y ago25:53

25:53

In 1977, a commuter train from the Blue Mountains, destined for Sydney central station would derail just before Granville Station, causing a bridge to collapse and crush many aboard. It remains Australia's worst ever rail disaster that was predicted by 11 engineering department heads just a year earlier. We look at how management decisions led to a…

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44: Beirut Warehouse 12 31:55

2y ago31:55

31:55

In Beirut in August of 2020, an explosion at the Port of Beirut destroyed a huge part of the city. We look into how an oxidising agent, improperly handled can become an explosive and attempt to comprehend how something so dangerous was ignored repeatedly by key people, despite many warnings of an imminent disaster. With John Chidgey. This show is P…

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43: Triangle Shirtwaist Factory 27:21

2+ y ago27:21

27:21

In 1911 in Manhattan, New York, a clothing factory went up in flames just before closing time. We look at how faulty equipment, poor design and a fear of theft contributed to a wholly preventable incident that had such terrible consequences, but would trigger reforms that still impact the United States, a century later. With John Chidgey. This show…

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42: Royal Canberra Hospital 45:14

2+ y ago45:14

45:14

The original Royal Canberra Hospital was flagged to be demolished in 1997 to make way for the new National Museum. A demolition via implosion was selected, but the implosion resulted in an explosion instead, and debris showered the huge crowd of onlookers with fatal consequences. With John Chidgey. This show is Podcasting 2.0 Enhanced Report into t…

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41: Florida International University 43:10

3y ago43:10

43:10

The university wanted a bridge for its students over a busy roadway that would appear intriguing from afar. Instead it collapsed before it was even finished. We look into how design errors, poor peer review and denial led to a collapse that claimed six peoples lives. With John Chidgey. This show is Podcasting 2.0 Enhanced Report into the Incidents:…

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40: Ocean Ranger 46:36

3y ago46:36

46:36

The largest semi-submersible Offshore Drilling Rig of its day, sank in a storm in 1982 whilst two smaller nearby rigs survived with minimal damage. We dive into how not closing a portlight cover, triggered a series of events that cost 84 people their lives. With John Chidgey. This show is Podcasting 2.0 Enhanced Report into the Incidents: Official …

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39: Therac-25 53:10

3y ago53:10

53:10

The successor to the Therac-6 and Therac-20 RadioTherapy machines would integrate the powerful DEC PDP-11 mini-computer to control all of the Therac-25s functions, including the safety interlocks, for the first time. In two years the 11 machines in service would overdose six people across two countries, killing three of them before they figured out…

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38: Thunder River Rapids 36:35

3+ y ago36:35

36:35

A popular family-friendly ride at DreamWorld would claim the lives of four people in 2016. In nearly thirty years of operation the ride had several similar but non-fatal incidents with blame placed on the operator every time, when a three thousand dollar modification could have prevented a horrific incident. With John Chidgey. Investigation Report:…

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37: Variola Birmingham 34:30

3+ y ago34:30

34:30

In 1978 on the cusp of the eradication of SmallPox a Medical Photographer became infected and would ultimately die from the Variola virus. We look at how admiration, promotion and delegation led to a wholly avoidable outcome. With John Chidgey. Investigation Report: The Shooter Report (PDF) Medical Analyses: CDC Analysis of the R0 of SmallPox (PDF)…

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