The War and Treaty’s Michael and Tanya Trotter grew up in Cleveland, Ohio, and Washington, DC, respectively, but both have family roots in the South. They also grew up in the musical traditions of their churches – Tanya in the Black Baptist Church and Michael in the Seventh Day Adventist Church – where they learned the power of song to move people. After becoming a father at a very young age, Michael eventually joined the armed forces and served in Iraq and Germany, where he took up songwriting as a way of dealing with his experiences there. Meanwhile Tanya embarked on a singing and acting career after a breakthrough appearance in Sister Act 2 alongside Whoopi Goldberg and Lauryn Hill. Now, after a long and sometimes traumatic journey, Michael and Tanya are married, touring, winning all sorts of awards, and set to release their fifth album together, and their fourth as The War and Treaty. Sid talks to Michael and Tanya about the new record, Plus One , as well as their collaboration with Miranda Lambert, what it was like to record at FAME studios in Muscle Shoals, and how they’re blending country, soul, gospel, and R&B. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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Market Savera - 08 / 01 / 2025
Manage episode 459928706 series 3628935
Вміст надано HDFC Securities. Весь вміст подкастів, включаючи епізоди, графіку та описи подкастів, завантажується та надається безпосередньо компанією HDFC Securities або його партнером по платформі подкастів. Якщо ви вважаєте, що хтось використовує ваш захищений авторським правом твір без вашого дозволу, ви можете виконати процедуру, описану тут https://uk.player.fm/legal.
“JOLTs” Job report jolts US markets. Indian markets likely to open soft - expected to find buying support at lower levels
1622 епізодів
ПоширитиManage episode 459928706 series 3628935
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“JOLTs” Job report jolts US markets. Indian markets likely to open soft - expected to find buying support at lower levels
1622 епізодів
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Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Stocks tumble after Trump announces tariffs President Donald Trump confirmed on Monday that tariffs on Mexico and Canada will proceed as planned, with all imported products from these nations facing a 25% duty starting Tuesday. With negotiations reaching a deadlock, both countries have exhausted their options to strike a deal. Additionally, Trump announced an extra 10% tariff on Chinese imports, raising the total duty to 20%. US markets had a big selloff, with the Dow swinging from being up +300 points at the open to falling as much as -1,100 points in hours. Most sectors were down, with technology and energy stocks posting the most significant declines. In significant geo-political developments, U.S. President Donald Trump has paused all military aid to Ukraine following his clash with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy last week. The OPEC+ cartel's eight members, who are subject to voluntary extra output cuts, will start increasing production in April, planning to add 2.2 million barrels a day over the next 18 months. Asia markets opened lower today, tracking Wall Street's declines overnight. U.S. President Donald Trump made it clear that tariffs on Mexico and Canada would go into effect as planned. China is reportedly considering countermeasures to U.S. tariffs. Defense stocks led Europe following meetings among leaders in the region to discuss bolstering military spending. India’s manufacturing sector lost momentum, with factory activity slowing to a 14-month low of 56.3 in February from 57.7 in January. Although new export orders rose, overall demand softened, and job expansion moderated. Indian markets opened in the green yesterday, but the momentum quickly turned negative, with both frontline indices losing half a percent by noon. Strong buying in metals, realty, and IT stocks fuelled a recovery in the second half of the session. Nifty remained above the psychologically important 22,000 mark yesterday and will likely be breached at the open today. A close below this level could pull the Nifty toward the next support band of 21,700-21,750. On the upside, the 22,450-22,500 band may present resistance.…
Opening Bell - Daily Morning Commentary Some respite in the offing for the Bulls Relief for the bulls appears to be on the horizon, offering a welcome break from recent challenges. Equity markets closed higher on Friday following U.S. inflation data that matched consensus expectations. Stocks in the Asia-Pacific region opened higher on Monday, shrugging off concerns about tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, while European leaders pledged support for Ukraine. Chinese top officials meet this week to discuss economic priorities, and the market’s hopes run high for further stimulus. To bolster domestic demand, a ramp-up in fiscal spending is expected to be announced at the National People's Congress, as well as measures to defuse a property crisis and put an end to the deflationary spiral. Cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin, surged after Donald Trump announced that the U.S. would move forward with establishing a crypto strategic reserve. Signs of improvement in local macroeconomic parameters suggest that the current softer patch in earnings growth may soon ease. In February 2025, India’s composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 60.6 points, up from 57.7 in January 2025. India’s Sales Managers Index hit a 63-month high, reflecting rapid economic expansion in February. For the week, Immediate support for the Nifty is expected in the 22,000-22,050 range, below which it could fall further toward the 21777 level. On the upside, the 5-day EMA near 22,500 could serve as resistance. Indian markets are likely to open higher, supported by Friday's positive close in US markets and strength in Asian markets.…
HSL Prime Research Opening Bell - Daily Morning Commentary Market to Focus on Derivative Rollovers. Stock markets closed mixed on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq modestly higher while the Dow Jones fell. U.S. equity markets also closed lower on Tuesday as consumer confidence declined more than expected. Artificial intelligence chipmaker Nvidia reported better-than-expected quarterly revenue and adjusted earnings per share. Following the announcement, Nvidia's shares rose 3.7% in extended trading. In economic data, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index increased by 4.5% in December compared to the same period last year, surpassing estimates of 4.4%. The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index fell for the third consecutive month to 98.3 in February, below forecasts of 103. A draft U.S.-Ukraine agreement on critical minerals and strong corporate earnings helped European shares close at a record high. Oil prices hit a two-month low due to a surprise increase in U.S. stockpiles, and the growing prospects for a Ukraine-Russia peace deal affected prices. Asian Pacific stocks displayed mixed reactions following U.S. President Donald Trump's new tariff announcements on the European Union. The Indian rupee closed sharply lower against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday after experiencing its worst intraday fall in over three weeks, as banks consistently bought dollars. Market attention will centre on rollover activity today, marking the final day of monthly derivative contracts. As traders adjust positions and transfer contracts to subsequent months, these rollover dynamics will likely drive market movements. FII’s expiration-day flows should provide valuable insights into institutional positioning and market sentiment moving forward. The Nifty index extended its losing streak to a sixth consecutive session on Tuesday, registering a slight decline to close at 22,547. Critical support is projected at 22450, based on a 76.4% retracement of the uptrend from 21281 (the low in June 2024) to 26277 (the all-time high reached in September 2024). On the upside, the 22700-22800 band is expected to be a significant resistance level.…
Opening Bell - Daily Morning Commentary Trump's Tariff Plans Weigh on Global Sentiment US equity markets closed lower on Monday, with technology and consumer discretionary stocks leading the decline, reflecting a risk-off sentiment. President Trump confirmed that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will take effect next week after the 30-day pause implemented in early February expires. The Nasdaq Composite fell more than 1%, with significant technology stocks creating the biggest drag as investors expressed concerns about demand for AI-supporting technology while awaiting results from market heavyweight Nvidia. The S&P 500 edged slightly lower, marking its third consecutive day of declines, while the Dow Jones managed to secure a marginal gain. The defensive healthcare sector led percentage gains, rising 0.75%, while technology was the biggest laggard, dropping 1.43%. Asian stocks opened lower on Tuesday following US President Donald Trump's decision to restrict Chinese investments and implement tariffs on Canada and Mexico. This prompted investors to reduce their positions. The late-session decline in US markets further dampened sentiment. The Indian rupee remained unchanged at 86.71 against the US dollar. Indian markets will be closed on Wednesday, February 26, in observance of Mahashivratri. The Nifty extended its losing streak to a fifth consecutive session yesterday, yielding to weak global cues and dropping 242 points (1.06%) to close at 22,553—its lowest level since June 5, 2024. Immediate support for the Nifty is now anticipated at 22450, which coincides with the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement of the swing from 21,281 to 26,277. The previous support level of 22,800 is expected to reverse its role and serve as resistance.…
Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Cautious Mood on D-street – Markets to open lower on weak global cues Major U.S. indices retreated during the holiday-shortened week, with sharp losses in the latter half erasing early gains. Walmart's conservative guidance for the upcoming year triggered broader concerns about consumer spending and economic health. Market sentiment further deteriorated amid uncertainty surrounding tariffs and interest rate cuts. Markets were rattled by Trump's announcement of planned additional tariffs on automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and lumber products. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite both declined 2.5%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.7% for the week. Geopolitical developments dominated headlines, particularly President Donald Trump's diplomatic efforts to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Asia market opened lower today after Wall Street logged its worst session of the year last Friday on lacklustre U.S. economic data that pointed to a slowing economy and sticky inflation. Zomato and Jio Financial Services will replace Britannia Industries and Bharat Petroleum Corporation in the Nifty 50, effective March 28. Indian markets are likely to open weak following soft global cues, particularly the sharp decline in U.S. markets on Friday. This potential weakness could push indices below crucial support levels of 22700. Any breach of near-term technical supports might trigger additional selling pressure, potentially driving the Nifty towards the 22450 level. The broader market indices - midcap and small cap are positioned near crucial long-term supports. Market sentiment is cautious amid heightened uncertainty surrounding trade relations and geopolitical tensions.…
Opening Bell - Daily Morning Commentary Walmart's forecast dampened investor risk appetite U.S. stocks sold off on Thursday as ongoing tariff jitters and a downbeat Walmart forecast dampened investor risk appetite. Dow Jones posted its most significant one-day loss since Jan. 10 — down 450 points, or 1% — while the S&P 500 SPX shed 0.4% after scoring back-to-back record finishes. The Dow had dropped 677 points at its session lows. Walmart, the world's largest retailer, provided current fiscal year sales and profit forecasts that fell short of analysts' expectations, suggesting dampening consumer demand. The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index posted a 0.3% decline in January, all but erasing the gains of the prior two months—the first gains since February 2022. Asian markets are recovering after opening lower on weak US cues. The Bank of Korea will cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points on Tuesday, offering support to an economy that barely grew last quarter. After unexpectedly holding its policy rate steady last month, South Korea's central bank signaled it needed to wait for domestic political turmoil, which weighed on the currency, to stabilize before easing further. The yen and gold have been primary safe-haven beneficiaries of the emerging Trump agenda. The dollar/yen fell below 150 to its lowest since early December, while gold got within $50 of $3,000 per ounce. Back home, Nifty fell for the third consecutive session yesterday, weighed down by underperformance in financial heavyweights. Nifty ended the session with a loss of 19 points to close at 22913. The support of 22800 was protected as Nifty made an intraday low at 22812 and recovered from there. The Indian rupee strengthened by 29 paise, breaking out of a five-day consolidation range. This appreciation was fuelled by dollar selling from foreign banks and the continued unwinding of long positions. Nifty Midcap and small-cap indices bucked the trend. Considering the strength in the broader markets, it seems that Nifty is headed higher for the next target of 23235. Trading longs should be protected with 22725 Stoploss in Nifty. Indian markets are likely to open subdued on weak global cues.…
Opening Bell - Daily Morning Commentary Federal Reserve meeting minutes signal a pause in interest rate cut U.S. stocks ended modestly higher on Wednesday, and the S&P 500 notched its second straight all-time closing high as investors scrutinized the minutes from the Federal Reserve's January policy meeting and digested U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff plans. All three major U.S. equity indexes made gains on the day. At the Fed's January policy meeting, the U.S. central bank left its key interest rate unchanged. The minutes show policymakers expressed concern about stubborn inflation and the potential effect of Trump's policy proposals, particularly tariffs, on their efforts to bring price growth down to their target. US President Donald Trump's tariff threats continued to weigh on risk appetite. Trump announced he would impose tariffs "in the neighborhood of 25%" on autos, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals, the latest in a series of measures that have raised concerns over the consequences of a global trade war. China kept its loan prime rates steady, focusing on financial stability. Stocks in Japan and Australia dropped, while equity index futures for Hong Kong also drifted lower after the minutes of the Fed meeting. The Nifty declined for the second consecutive session, concluding the day with a loss of 12 points to settle at 22,932. Although the index demonstrated weakness, the broader market exhibited resilience. The critical support level of 22,800 was successfully protected once again. Should the index surpass 23050, that will pave the way for an extended recovery toward the subsequent resistance of 23235. Markets are expected to start trading on a subdued note today amid escalating concerns regarding trade tensions and the anticipated postponement of the Federal Reserve's interest rate reductions.…
Opening Bell - Daily Morning Commentary Asian shares slipped on the threat of a broader global trade war. All three major US stock indexes swung between losses and gains before turning positive in the final minutes of trading. The S&P 500 edged to a new record close in a shortened holiday week. The market faces several key factors: the end of earnings season, upcoming Federal Reserve minutes, and ongoing global trade tensions. US Quarterly earnings season is nearly complete, with 74% of the 383 S&P 500 companies reporting fourth-quarter results beating expectations. The Federal Reserve will release minutes from its January meeting today. At that meeting, officials kept interest rates unchanged amid inflation concerns and uncertainty over Trump's proposed tariffs. Fed officials have maintained a consistent message. Philadelphia Fed's Harker and Governors Bowman and Waller cited economic strength and high inflation as reasons to maintain current rates. San Francisco Fed's Daly emphasized the need for more apparent progress toward the 2% inflation target before considering rate cuts. Most Asian equities slipped in early trade as the threat of a broader global trade war and geopolitical uncertainty outweighed a rally in chipmakers. Nifty ended the session with a minor loss of 14 points to close at 22945, honouring the crucial 22800 support. The Nifty small-cap Index resumed its downward journey, plunged by 1.59% to close at its lowest level since 26 March 2024. A potential reversal signal would be a move above the 5-day EMA, currently placed around 23,020. Sustained trading above this level could trigger a pullback towards 23,235. Conversely, a break below 22,725 could reignite the downtrend.…
HSL Prime Research Opening Bell - Daily Morning Commentary The short-term bottom seems in place - 22800 is a key support. US stock markets were closed for trading on Monday for the President's Day Holiday. At least six Fed officials are due to speak this week, and markets will pay attention to their views on future rate cuts. European shares marked record highs on the prospect of a Ukraine peace deal. The Australian dollar stood near a two-month high ahead of a central bank rate decision. The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to cut its cash rate by a quarter-point to 4.10%, its first reduction in over four years. Meanwhile, the rebound in Chinese markets continues, with tech shares listed in Hong Kong hitting a three-year high on Monday as President Xi Jinping sat down with top tech leaders in Beijing. The Hang Seng tech index is up more than 30% in a month. Financial markets are adjusting to the increasing likelihood of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raising interest rates sooner and to higher levels than anticipated. Hawkish signals from the central bank, coupled with persistent inflation, have led to a significant surge in Japanese bond yields. The Nifty snapped its eight-session losing streak, posting a modest gain of 30 points, or 0.13%, to close at 22,959.. After hitting early morning lows, the index staged an impressive recovery of nearly 250 points, demonstrating resilience. The anticipated support band of 22750-22800 worked out well. From a short-term perspective, a bottom appears to be in place. Further bearish bets should be avoided as long as the Nifty holds above the 22,800 level on a closing basis. On the upside, the 23,235 level will likely act as a key resistance in the near term.…
Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Nifty's 22800 Level - A Make-or-Break Point for Bulls US stock markets will remain closed on Monday for President's Day 2025, marking the birth anniversary of the first US President, George Washington. Asia share markets are also becalmed by a Wall Street holiday on Monday. The Dow Jones stayed close to its all-time high, just one percent below its peak. The dollar nursed losses suffered after a weak U.S. retail sales report rekindled wagers for two rate cuts this year. Easing inflation has opened the door for the Reserve Bank of Australia to begin an anticipated brief series of interest rate cuts, starting with a quarter-point reduction to 4.10% on Tuesday. In Japanese data, both GDP and CPI are expected to surprise on the upside. The minutes of the Fed's last meeting are due on Wednesday and should offer some detail about the outlook for further easing. At least six Fed officials are due to speak this week. The Indian equity markets continue to exhibit weakness, trading below critical short-term moving averages amid mounting pressure. Last week witnessed significant selling pressure in the mid-cap and small-cap segments, with several stocks experiencing sharp corrections. The global markets are scaling to new all-time highs, which could support Indian markets in limiting the downside from here. While Indian market breadth remains subdued, technical indicators are fast approaching an oversold territory, suggesting a potential reversal. The percentage of stocks trading above their 200-day moving average in the NSE500 universe has fallen to 14%. Historically, significant downtrends have formed bottoms near such levels. The benchmark Nifty index has shown resilience around the crucial 22,800 mark, managing to stage minor rebounds from this support level on multiple occasions. If the index defends the 22,800 level, it could trigger short covering, potentially leading to a technical bounce. A decisive move below the 22750-22800 zone could trigger further selling, potentially pushing the index toward its next support level at 22460.…
Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Indian Market Sentiment Expected to Improve Today The S&P 500 ended higher on Thursday, lifted by gains in Nvidia, Apple and Tesla, after U.S. President Donald Trump unveiled a roadmap for charging reciprocal tariffs on U.S. trading partners. Stocks also gained after data showed U.S. producer prices increased in January. Key elements in the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, a measure closely tracked by the U.S. Federal Reserve, were benign. Initial jobless claims dropped to 213,000 this past week, slightly below estimates of 215,000 and the weekly average for this year of 214,000. Continuing jobless claims, which reflect the number of people currently receiving unemployment benefits, declined to 1.85 million, below forecasts for 1.88 million. These readings, combined with other recent data, indicate that the US labour market remains healthy. Yields on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond moved sharply lower following the report, suggesting investors were growing more confident about inflation cooling. In Global markets, Europe benchmark index STOXX Europe 600 reached a new all-time high on the potential for Ukraine peace talks. In the commodity space, gold traded higher, while WTI oil was little changed. Prime Minister Narendra Modi's White House visit proved more constructive than anticipated. During the summit, PM Modi and President Trump set an ambitious goal to double bilateral trade to $500 billion by 2030. However, market sentiment remains fragile amid escalating trade tensions, particularly following President Trump's announcement of planned reciprocal tariffs on countries that impose duties on U.S. imports. As part of efforts to address the trade imbalance, India has committed to increasing its imports of U.S. oil and gas to reduce the deficit between the two nations. The Nifty extended its downward trajectory for the seventh consecutive session yesterday, marking its most extended decline since November. The index's persistent slump reflects mounting concerns over escalating trade tensions, earnings slowdowns, and sustained foreign portfolio outflows. Nifty is trading below its 5, 11, and 20-day exponential moving averages, suggesting continued weakness in the short term. The index faced resistance near its 5-day EMA before declining sharply to register its lowest close of the month. The 23,235 level will likely serve as immediate resistance, while 22,800 is likely to act as a crucial support level to monitor in the coming session. In the first sign of recovery, FPIs started covering their short positions in the derivative markets, and that trend should be accentuated further today. Indian markets are likely to open higher today on the back of positive cues from US and European markets.…
Morning Market Commentary Global Markets Poised to Surge Amid Fresh Hopes for Ukraine Peace Prospects U.S. stocks finished mixed on Wednesday after the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed higher-than-expected inflation. It triggered an aggressive selloff of Treasurys and undermined the Federal Reserve's ability to keep cutting interest rates. The consumer price index (CPI)ticked up to an annualized rate of 3.0% in January, surpassing expectations of a steady 2.9%. Energy prices were a significant factor in the increase, rising 1.1% month-over-month. Markets are now pricing one Fed rate cut this year, potentially in October or December. Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivered his semi-annual testimony to the U.S. Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs on Tuesday, reiterating that the Fed can be patient in cutting interest rates and remains committed to bringing inflation down. During their phone calls, Donald Trump spoke separately to Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy. Both of them expressed a desire for peace. Trump instructed top U.S. officials to initiate talks to end the war in Ukraine. Asian and European stock futures rallied on optimism over the prospects of a peace deal between Ukraine and Russia. Oil prices dropped, having been down more than 2% overnight. Wall Street staged a late rally to end the day mixed. The Nifty extended its downward trend for the sixth consecutive session yesterday, but the day's trading pattern revealed significant underlying strength. Nifty formed a double bottom around 22,800 before bouncing back to close above the psychologically important 23,000 mark. Looking ahead, the 5-day EMA at 23,255 presents immediate resistance, while the 22,800 level serves as a crucial support zone to monitor in the coming sessions.…
Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Modest Recovery in Early Trade After Five-Session Decline Wall Street's main indexes ended mixed on Tuesday as gains in Coca-Cola and Apple offset losses in Tesla, while investors parsed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's latest comments. The U.S. central bank is in no rush to cut its short-term interest rate again, given the economy is "strong overall", with low unemployment and inflation still above the Fed's 2% target. Coca-Cola advanced 4.7% after the beverage maker beat fourth-quarter revenue estimates, helped by higher prices and resilient demand for its sodas and juices. Tesla tumbled 6.3% a day after a consortium led by CEO Elon Musk offered $97 billion to buy the non-profit that controls artificial intelligence start-up OpenAI. Consumer staples and energy were among the top-performing sectors of the S&P 500, with energy receiving a boost from higher oil prices Deep uncertainty about President Donald Trump's announcement on Monday of U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum imports and what lies next in the brewing global trade war may also keep investors on the defensive. With roughly 65% of the companies in the S&P 500 announcing fourth-quarter results, earnings are on pace to grow by approximately 16% year-over-year. Asian markets will be looking to claw back Tuesday's broad losses. Still, they will face headwinds from a sluggish performance on Wall Street, higher U.S. bond yields, and persistent nervousness around escalating global trade tensions. Global index provider has announced changes to its indices as part of the February 2025 review, with adjustments set to take effect after market close on February 28. Among the top weight increases in the Indexes, IndusInd Bank Ltd., Zomato Ltd., Varun Beverages Ltd., Mankind Pharma Ltd., Torrent Pharmaceuticals Ltd., Dixon Technologies (India) Ltd., PB Fintech Ltd., Adani Enterprises Ltd., and Voltas Ltd. joined Hyundai India in the top ten. Conversely, the most significant weight decreases were seen in Adani Green Energy Ltd., Reliance Industries Ltd., HDFC Bank Ltd., Infosys Ltd., ICICI Bank Ltd., Bharti Airtel Ltd., Tata Consultancy Services Ltd., Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd., Larsen & Toubro Ltd., and Axis Bank Ltd. Unsubstantiated fears regarding higher tax rates on financial securities due to the implementation of the New Income Tax Bill also triggered panic selling among weak market participants. Some of the selling can be linked to margin calls on funded positions. India's January inflation, December industrial production, and Japan's investing giant Softbank Q3 results will set the tone for investors today. *The short-term trend remains weak as Nifty is below its 5, 11, and 20 DEMA. The previous support of 23222 is likely to serve as near-term resistance, while immediate support is set at 22976, followed by 22800 levels. Indices will recover in early trade after a five-session rout that has rattled investor confidence. However, the sustainability of this nascent rebound remains contingent upon clarity emerging from the proposed income tax act and the outcome of discussions between Prime Minister Modi and US President Trump.…
Opening Bell - Morning Commentary Wall Street ends higher on AI strength America's main indexes closed higher on Monday, lifted by Nvidia and other AI-related stocks. Steelmakers surged after U.S. President Donald Trump said he would impose additional tariffs on steel and aluminium imports. Trump's latest potential trade barrier escalation would introduce 25% tariffs on all U.S. steel and aluminum imports in addition to already prevailing duties on the metals. The US dollar surged while gold prices moved to record highs. With the fourth-quarter reporting season over halfway through, S&P 500 companies are expected to have posted year-over-year earnings growth of 14.8%, up from expectations of less than 10% at the start of 2025. Investors are also looking to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's biannual monetary policy report to the Senate Budget Committee on Tuesday and presented to the House of Representatives Financial Services Committee on Wednesday. The Indian rupee plunged to an unprecedented low of 87.95 following US President Donald Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs on metal imports. Nifty continued its downward spiral for the fourth consecutive session yesterday, the index shed 178 points or 0.76% to settle at 23,381. The bearish sentiment cast its shadow across all sectoral benchmarks, with Nifty Realty, Metal, and Consumer Durables emerging as the worst-hit segments. Nifty’s immediate support lies at 23222, while resistance is anticipated in the 23500-23600 band. The bulls must defend Nifty's crucial 23,222 support level to maintain its "higher high—higher low" structure. A successful defense could trigger short-covering, while a breach below 23222 would likely intensify selling pressure.…
Opening Bell - Daily Morning Commentary Trump Escalates Trade War The U.S. stock market slumped last week, with the S&P 500 giving up its weekly gain after investors fretted over reciprocal tariffs planned by President Donald Trump. The uncertainty around trade and tariffs continues to remain perhaps the biggest overhang on markets. While U.S. tariffs against Canada and Mexico are on pause, and remain at 10% for China, if there were a meaningful escalation, this could spark some inflationary pressure and lower growth. Asian shares dithered and the dollar edged higher on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump warned more tariffs were imminent including on steel and aluminium, an inflationary move that could limit the scope for rate cuts. Despite uncertainties surrounding tariff policies, corporate earnings remain a bright spot for US markets, with projections showing double-digit growth. The outlook is particularly encouraging given that approximately 60% of S&P 500 companies have already reported earnings, with an impressive 77% surpassing analysts' expectations. In a watershed moment for India's monetary landscape, under the leadership of the new governor Mr. Malhotra, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced a significant shift in its policy framework last Friday, effecting a reduction in the policy repo rate by 25 basis points to 6.25 per cent - marking its first such intervention in half a decade. This calculated move is expected to catalyse credit growth across sectors, particularly benefiting SMES whilst providing much-needed impetus to the real estate sector through reduced borrowing costs. After a 250-point pullback from the intra-week high of 23807, the Nifty has found support at the 11 and 20-day EMAs (23465 and 23440, respectively) on Friday. A sustained move above 23700 could pave the way for a retest of the 23807, followed by the 24000-24100 zone. Conversely, the 23400-23465 range is expected to provide support on the downside. The recent interest rate reduction by the RBI's Monetary Policy Committee, combined with favourable income tax measures announced in the Union Budget and the ruling dispensations electoral victories in state election, has created a positive sentiment boost for the market. While global uncertainties continue to impact Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) flows, government initiatives provide a crucial buffer against major market declines, helping maintain investor confidence.…
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