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Kris Sidial: "Graveyard Day" Is In Store For Short Volatility Traders

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Manage episode 457271295 series 3627237
Вміст надано Jack Farley. Весь вміст подкастів, включаючи епізоди, графіку та описи подкастів, завантажується та надається безпосередньо компанією Jack Farley або його партнером по платформі подкастів. Якщо ви вважаєте, що хтось використовує ваш захищений авторським правом твір без вашого дозволу, ви можете виконати процедуру, описану тут https://uk.player.fm/legal.

Kris Sidial, co-CIO of Ambrus Group, joins Monetary Matters to break down the conditions in volatility markets that exacerbated the sharp sell-off in early August, and explain why he thinks the risks embedded in the "short vol" trade have only gotten worse. Recorded on September 20, 2024.

Follow Kris Sidial on Twitter https://x.com/Ksidiii

Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96

  continue reading

87 епізодів

Artwork
iconПоширити
 
Manage episode 457271295 series 3627237
Вміст надано Jack Farley. Весь вміст подкастів, включаючи епізоди, графіку та описи подкастів, завантажується та надається безпосередньо компанією Jack Farley або його партнером по платформі подкастів. Якщо ви вважаєте, що хтось використовує ваш захищений авторським правом твір без вашого дозволу, ви можете виконати процедуру, описану тут https://uk.player.fm/legal.

Kris Sidial, co-CIO of Ambrus Group, joins Monetary Matters to break down the conditions in volatility markets that exacerbated the sharp sell-off in early August, and explain why he thinks the risks embedded in the "short vol" trade have only gotten worse. Recorded on September 20, 2024.

Follow Kris Sidial on Twitter https://x.com/Ksidiii

Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96

  continue reading

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Benn Eifert of QVR Advisors joins Monetary Matters to share his thoughts on tariffs, volatility, and the growth of ETFs with embedded derivatives. Recorded on March 26 (before “Liberation Day” and the market crash). Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Benn Eifert on Twitter https://x.com/bennpeifert Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…
 
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Darius Dale of 42Macro joins Jack to explain why he’s been bearish on U.S. stocks and expects the rough sledding to continue. Dale believes stagflationary shock from tariffs and deflationary DOGE forces could cause Treasurys to catch a short-term bid, but long-term he is bearish on bonds. On a longer-term time horizon, Dale thinks Trump fiscal forces could be positive for the economy and markets. Recorded on April 1, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Darius Dale on Twitter https://x.com/DariusDale42 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…
 
This episode is brought to you by Fintool. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process with Fintool: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Petr Pinkhasov, CIO and founder of Anthem Capital Management, joins Other People’s Money, for a special “Trader Talks” episode where he discusses how he trades incorporating quantitative signals, thematic views, and technical analysis patterns like DeMark indicators. Petr also discusses how he’s been handling the volatile start to 2025 and what forces he is attributing the market’s recent turmoil and rotations. This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Follow Petr on X: https://x.com/pinkhasov Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod…
 
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Brad Setser is an expert on global trade and capital flows, having served as senior advisor to the United States Trade Representative from 2021 to 2022. The Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) joins Monetary Matters to explain why he thinks President Trump’s tariffs are likely to cause a growth shock in the second quarter. Recorded on March 20, 2025 Brad Setser piece on China’s Balance of Payments: https://www.cfr.org/blog/iphone-imf-and-chinas-balance-payments “The Evolution of Global Trade in 2024”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/evolution-global-trade-2024 Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Brad Setser on Twitter https://x.com/Brad_Setser Brad Setser on CFR: https://www.cfr.org/expert/brad-w-setser Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…
 
This episode is brought to you by Fintool. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process with Fintool: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Nicolás Dujovne, CIO and founder of Tenac Asset Management, joins Other People’s Money to discuss his path from Treasury Minister of Argentina and president of the G-20 to hedge fund manager. Despite more experience managing economies than trading them, Dujovne and his partners at Tenac have succeeded in building a 5+ year track record with no down years and an annualized rate of 17.18% net of fees, focusing mostly on sovereign and corporate debt of emerging market countries. In the interview we discuss how global macro feeds portfolio construction, the important factors when analyzing individual emerging markets, and how understanding large international organizations like the IMF is crucial to predicting outcomes in EM. This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:29 Fintool Front Roll 02:00 Why is LATAM a Macro Hotbed? 04:11 From Minister of the Treasury to Macro Trader 11:36 Capital Raising in LATAM 16:31 Developing & Communicating Your Investment Process 20:53 Fintool Mid Roll 22:01 The Growth of EM Debt Markets 25:56 Dispersion and Portfolio Management 30:50 Corporate/Quasi Sovereign Debt 34:30 The Events That Move Markets in EM 38:22 Data Integrity Issues in EM 39:28 Vol and Investor Expectations 43:14 Global Spotlight on Argentina 44:57 Unique Requirements of Global Investing 48:16 The Roll of the IMF 54:27 Elections and Prediction Markets 56:58 The Roll of US Financial Conditions 01:01:45 Current Outlook for US Trade Policy 01:03:17 Opportunity Right Now #stocks #economics #economy #recession #bonds #stockmarket #investing #hedgefunds #analyst #Alternatives #Argentina #NicolasDujovne #tenac #emergingmarkets #EMinvesting…
 
Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe While Chris Whalen of Whalen Global Advisors is a supporter of many of the Trump administration’s policies, he expects they will cause some significant turbulence in credit and economic markets. Chris explains why he thinks FHA Mortgage foreclosures will rise, and shares his views on tariffs, bank stocks, and payment companies. Recorded on March 20, 2025. Second edition of Chris Whalen’s “Inflated”: https://www.wiley.com/en-us/Inflated%3A+Money%2C+Debt+and+the+American+Dream%2C+2nd+Edition-p-9781394285716 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Chris Whalen on Twitter https://x.com/rcwhalen Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…
 
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Jim Bianco returns to Monetary Matters to break down the March Federal Reserve meeting. He explains why he thinks tariffs are unlikely to cause a recession and share his current asset allocation outlook. Recorded the afternoon of March 19, 2025. Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Jim Bianco on Twitter https://x.com/biancoresearch Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…
 
Kris Sidial, co-CIO of The Ambrus Group, returns to Monetary Matters to share his decidedly bearish view of the U.S. stock market. Kris argues that volatility markets are not sufficiently pricing in the risks of President Trump’s economic policy, and if that if anything, vol traders are expecting a bounce and laying off hedges rather than buying them. Kris also explains the dispersion trade, vol selling in ETFs, index arb, vanna & volga, VVIX, and margin risk. Recorded on March 18, 2025. Follow Kris Sidial on Twitter https://x.com/Ksidiii Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…
 
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This episode is brought to you by Fintool. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process with Fintool: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm James Aitken of Aitken Advisors is one of the world’s most respected investment minds. He joins Monetary Matters to share his view that tariffs - and in particular announced reciprocal tariffs - from the Trump administration are set to slow economic growth in the U.S. from 5% to around 3%, and that accordingly the high-growth environment wherein credit and equities performed extremely well is likely set to give way to a lower-growth environment which will be more bumpy for credit and stocks. Aitken evaluates the current risk-reward in European and Chinese equities, and also shares his analysis of the situation in private credit. Recorded March 14, 2025. Follow James Aitken on Twitter https://x.com/AitkenAdvisors Follow Fintool on Twitter https://x.com/fintoolx Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…
 
Recorded on March 13, 2025. Follow Aahan Menon on Twitter https://x.com/AahanPrometheus Follow Prometheus Macro on Twitter https://x.com/prometheusmacro Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…
 
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This episode is brought to you by Fintool. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process with Fintool: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Toronto may be the financial capital of Canada but compared to NYC or London it does not quite have the same cachet for top hedge fund managers. This might be why Moez Kassam, CIO and Founder of Anson Funds, has flown under the radar of many keeping track of the industry’s titans while growing Anson Funds to over $2b in assets under management and putting together a track record of 15% annualized returns since inception in 2007. Known as a short selling specialist, Kassam shares his views on the art of shorting, dives into some of the other differentiated strategies Anson employs and explains how he attracts top talent to Toronto. This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Follow Moez Kassam on X: https://x.com/MunchingMoez Follow Anson Funds on X: https://x.com/AnsonGroupFunds Follow Max Wiethe on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod…
 
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack During most stock market sell-offs, the dollar tends to rise. Julian Brigden, co-founder of Macro Intelligence 2 Partners, explains why he thinks the U.S. dollar will weaken as the stock market declines as a bubble in dollar assets is popped by new U.S. fiscal policy. Recorded on March 6, 2025. Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Julian Brigden on Twitter https://x.com/JulianMI2 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…
 
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