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The USDA’s action against Brazilian beef will help U.S. ranchers sell more in China. Also: we take a look at trade implications from corporate actions by Ikea in augmented reality and Diageo’s tequila bet on George Clooney.Panjiva Research
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President Trump will hold meetings with Prime Minister Modi of India and President Moon of South Korea - we take a look at what’s at stake. Also: we unpick Ambassador Lighthizer’s comments on NAFTA; and take a look at a potential COSCO/Orient Overseas deal.Panjiva Research
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Global trade opportunities can lead companies to make similar moves for very different reasons, as we find with Ford and Tesla’s moves into China. Also: the ONE shipping merger is rejected by South Africa; and the EU strikes a hawkish tone ahead of the U.S. steel case decision.Panjiva Research
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Strike action in Spain continues to disrupt trade - we find Maersk and MSC are most exposed among the U.S.-bound carriers. Also: the U.K. wants a trade deal with the U.S., but does the U.S.?; and we find the PC market is weakening in our monthly review of the computer industry.Panjiva Research
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Talks among the BRICS countries could lead to an expanded group, but will likely focus more on security than trade at first. Also: we preview the Brexit talks that started today; and our monthly review of smartphones shows growth for Pegatron and rising prices for American consumers.Panjiva Research
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Maersk’s CEO has pointed to increasing market share - we see evidence in both the U.S. and Brazil. Also: COSCO is shifting volumes to Long Beach; and our monthly review of U.S. generic pharmaceutical imports shows they are on the rise ahead of a new Executive Order.Panjiva Research
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The first 100 days of President Trump’s administration focussed on the groundwork for future trade policy delivery. We’ve put together a roadmap of what to watch in the next three months. Also: we preview a potential announcement on Cuban policy; and review the U.S.-Qatar arms deal.Panjiva Research
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A sense of urgency from the Trump administration in implementing new aluminum and steel import rules is validated by an acceleration in imports recently. Also: rules on exports of U.S. beef to China are finalized; and we have published our monthly review of the NVOCCs’ performance.Panjiva Research
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Potential concerns about the cohesion of OPEC oil production cuts have had a bigger (negative) impact on shipping rates than access to Qatari markets. Also: Russia still has a $10 billion trade problem with the U.S; and we review carriers’ market share of U.S.-inbound container traffic.Panjiva Research
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The loss of a majority by the British Conservative government will likely lead to a coalition with the Democratic Unionists, and a softening of the U.K.’s stance towards Brexit. Also: our monthly review of U.S. ports’ performance; and the Panama Canal has fulfilled its purpose.Panjiva Research
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The outcome of the U.K. elections today is uncertain, and matters for the Brexit trade deal process - there are 4 scenarios to consider. Also: Maersk’s financial offer is borne of lower debt than its peers; and we take a first look at U.S. imports in May.Panjiva Research
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A sugar deal between the U.S. and Mexico shows a NAFTA deal is do-able, but ambitious within a year-end timeframe. The Mexican government may need to boost aerospace and energy spending to land a deal. Also: we preview the Merkel / Peña-Nieto summit.Panjiva Research
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Trade cases are in focus today, with Mexico-U.S. sugar talks proceeding well while cases in steel and biodiesel have been paused, possibly to allow for harsher decisions to be made. Also: LNG export opportunities resulting from the Qatar situation may be limited.Panjiva Research
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Trade sanctions could prove to be a powerful disruptor of global energy flows. China’s reaction to an embargo against Qatar will impact LNG. U.S. sanctions against Venezuela may introduce difficult decisions for oil refiners.Panjiva Research
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The top 20 most read articles in Panjiva research in May centered on U.S. trade policy activity, and consolidation in the logistics industry. Also: the U.S. pulls out of the Paris accords; and the rally in U.S. trade activity may have peaked.Panjiva Research
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A potential withdrawal from the Paris climate accords by the U.S. has led importers of wind and solar power equipment, including Siemens, to accelerate their imports. Also: the Vietnam-U.S. summit didn’t yield new deal talks; and we examine the performance of Mexican ports in April.Panjiva Research
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Whirlpool’s request for a broad “safeguard” trade case is the second of its kind, and likely comes in response to “country hopping” by Samsung and LG. Also: Secretary Ross sees TTIP talks making sense; and we look at Hasbro’s views on U.S. trade policy.Panjiva Research
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The Chinese government’s proposed routemap for increased imports from the U.S. offers the best opportunities in semiconductors and LNG, our analysis shows. Also: U.S. law changes may force carriers to make a choice; and we analyze American imports of spirits.Panjiva Research
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Hapag-Lloyd has finally completed its acquisition of UASC - we estimate it has paid over two times revenues, a premium to Maersk’s bid for Hamburg Sud. Also: what we learned about steel yesterday; and we review of what wine Americans are importing.Panjiva Research
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Canada and Mexico are committed to NAFTA talks being trilateral - our analysis of their top 50 export lines show they will be more like a series of bilaterals. Also: toothpaste exports may be disrupted by a Mexican bridge; and our monthly review of U.S. beer imports.Panjiva Research
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