Кращі подкасти про Market Commentary (2025)

1
DeepSeek caused Nvidia to experience largest single-day loss in Wall Street history 8:11

2h ago8:11

8:11

The UK economy is grappling with significant challenges as consumer confidence slumped in January, which was reflected in weak survey data from the British Retail Consortium. Industrial sentiment is at a two-year low, with output volumes falling at their steepest rate in four years, signalling more contraction ahead. Bloomberg warned of more freque…

1
UK inflation falls to lowest level since early 2021 7:48

7d ago7:48

7:48

The UK economy faced mixed signals this week as inflation slowed unexpectedly in December, dropping to 2.5%, the lowest since early 2021, driven by lower energy and food costs. This has heightened expectations for Bank of England (“BoE”) rate cuts, with the market pricing in three reductions this year. However, core inflation remained stable, and e…

1
Rising gilt yields threaten UK government's fiscal headroom 8:04

14d ago8:04

8:04

The UK economy faced significant headwinds in 2024, marked by stagnation and subdued growth. December’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (“PMI”) data revealed the weakest private sector performance since October 2023, with composite PMI at 50.4 and a sharp decline in new orders. Rising payroll costs and declining demand drove the steepest fall in employm…

1
UK ministers tasked with finding 5% budget savings 8:17

1M ago8:17

8:17

The Bank of England ("BoE") is expected to maintain a cautious approach to rate cuts in the coming months, with a Reuters survey showing a 10% chance of one happening this week. Investors also predict three rate reductions in 2025, totalling 0.75%, so a more measured path than the European Central Bank's ("ECB") anticipated 1.5%. However, the BoE f…

1
Starmer rejects notion that Britain must choose between the US and EU 7:37

2M ago7:37

7:37

The UK economy is grappling with challenges as business confidence falters and retail sales dip. The Lloyds Bank business barometer fell to a five-month low of 41%, highlighting economic uncertainty, though firms remain optimistic about their trading prospects. Surveys from the Confederation of British Industry and the Institute of Directors indica…

1
Bessent's selection as Trump's Treasury Secretary reassures markets 7:56

2M ago7:56

7:56

Last week, key economic updates highlighted mixed signals for the UK. Bank of England (“BoE”) Deputy Governor Clare Lombardelli expressed caution over wage growth trends, warning that a slowdown in wage disinflation might necessitate careful rate cut strategies. BoE official Swati Dhingra noted the UK is no longer an inflation outlier but stressed …

1
Business Secretary warns of potential £20bn hit from a US-EU trade war 7:59

2M ago7:59

7:59

Last week, the Bank of England (“BoE”) emphasised the labour market's critical role in shaping monetary policy. Policymakers stressed the importance of early 2024 labour market data amidst uncertainty of the budget's potential impacts on wages and employment. Inflation rose in October, with headline Consumer Price Index (“CPI”) at 2.3% and core inf…

1
Burberry shares rise 12.6% despite weak first-half results 8:23

2M ago8:23

8:23

Last week, UK economic data pointed to continued challenges and mixed signals. Third quarter gross domestic product (“GDP”) growth was disappointing, expanding by only 0.1% versus 0.2% expected, with September’s monthly GDP contracting at 0.1% as production weakened. The Bank of England’s (“BoE”) Chief Economist Huw Pill warned that global shocks c…

1
US Election: S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit record highs 8:26

3M ago8:26

8:26

Due to geopolitical uncertainties and a cautious market response to changes in fiscal policy, UK economic indicators were mixed. Growth slowed in the services sector, with the Purchasing Managers’ Index (“PMI”) hitting 52.0, reflecting hesitation from the Autumn Budget and geopolitical influences. Inflation data showed some improvement, especially …

1
What impact did Labour's first budget have on markets? 7:44

3M ago7:44

7:44

The UK economy showed mixed signals last week, with key developments impacting market expectations. The budget delivered by Rachel Reeves, which included a £70 billion spending boost, led to predictions of a shallower rate-cutting cycle by the Bank of England (“BoE”). A Reuters poll indicated economists largely expect a cautious BoE approach, with …

1
UK Economy shows mixed signals amidst budget uncertainties 8:25

3M ago8:25

8:25

The construction and infrastructure services company Morgan Sindall Group saw a share price rise of 14.91% last week following a strong trading update. The update highlighted better-than-anticipated performance, prompting analysts to increase earnings per share (“EPS”) forecasts for 2024 and 2025 by 7%. The company’s Fit Out division showed robust …

1
UK inflation drops below 2% for first time since 2021 7:37

3M ago7:37

7:37

Last week's UK economic data painted a mixed picture ahead of the Bank of England's (“BoE”) November policy meeting. Inflation has dropped below the 2% target for the first time since 2021, reaching 1.7%, driven by lower energy costs and eased supply chain pressures. Meanwhile, a notable minimum wage hike has underpinned pay growth for low-wage wor…

1
The Budget dominates market conversations this week on how to plug the £22b fiscal shortfall 8:17

3M ago8:17

8:17

The UK economy returned to growth, expanding by 0.2% after two months of stagnation, according to reports from The Times, Reuters and Bloomberg. This growth was driven by strong rebounds in manufacturing and construction, despite weaker-than-expected growth in the services sector. Retail sales showed resilience, rising 2% in September, the fastest …

1
Contrasting views on further rate cuts emitting from Bank of England 7:56

4M ago7:56

7:56

Lloyds' Business Barometer indicated a dip in UK business confidence in September, the lowest level in three months. The data suggests businesses are cautious about the broader economic outlook but still expect strong trading, highlighting concerns over inflation, investment, and potential fiscal policy changes ahead of the upcoming budget. Bank of…

1
The UK economy is treading a cautious path whilst the Hang Seng surges 7:41

4M ago7:41

7:41

Last week saw the Bank of England (“BoE”) maintain a cautious tone on the future trajectory of interest rates. Governor Andrew Bailey noted that while inflation has made significant progress toward the BoE’s 2% target, a gradual approach to interest rate cuts is necessary to ensure sustainable price stability. His comments come after the BoE decide…

1
Economists predict BoE base rate could fall to as low as 3% next year 8:13

4M ago8:13

8:13

The Bank of England ("BoE") has left policy unchanged in the short term. Still, it may accelerate rate cuts in the final quarter of 2024 with weakening economic momentum, cracks in the labour market, and softening manufacturing outputs signalling a need for further easing. However, persistent inflationary pressures, especially in core and services …

1
UK housing market is showing signs of recovery and the Bank of England is expected to hold interest rates at 5.00% 6:53

4M ago6:53

6:53

The Bank of England (“BoE”) is texpected to hold interest rates at 5.00%his week, with economists forecasting further rate cuts in its November and December meeting, potentially bringing the year-end rate to 4.50%. Attention is also on the BoE’s quantitative tightening plans, as there are growing calls to increase the sale of short-dated gilts to b…

1
Boost for UK economy as August retail sales rise by 1% 7:26

5M ago7:26

7:26

Recent data from Reed Recruitment shows UK wage growth is no longer declining and is now stabilising, which may pose a challenge to the Bank of England (“BoE”) and Prime Minister Keir Starmer. As sectors like construction and hospitality face skill shortages, rising wages could force a rethink on easing policies. Despite this, analysts remain optim…

1
UK housing market is showing signs of recovery and the UK government faces a difficult task of balancing the budget. 7:55

5M ago7:55

7:55

Summary: The UK experienced a combination of positive and negative economic indicators. The government faces the difficult task of balancing the budget, which could lead to tax increases and spending cuts. Various factors, including financial data, political developments, and corporate earnings impacted global markets. US equities experienced a mix…

1
Sterling reaches 12-month high versus the US dollar 7:52

5M ago7:52

7:52

Summary: Last week UK stocks remained relatively flat, with the FTSE 100 index closing 0.3% lower. Sterling rose above $1.32, representing its highest level in over a year against the dollar. This increase was driven by rising expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve ("Fed") next month. However, a stronger sterling added pressure…

1
UK Economy is projecting mixed signals 7:37

5M ago7:37

7:37

The UK economic landscape is currently marked by mixed signals, particularly regarding inflation and labour market dynamics. The Bank of England's (“BoE”) more hawkish member, Catherine Mann, remains sceptical about the disinflation process, highlighting persistent wage pressures that could take years to subside. Despite recent inflation data showi…

1
UK economy shows resilience as the US jobs data sends a warning about a possible downturn 7:35

6M ago7:35

7:35

Last week saw various economic developments, including the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (“NIESR”) publishing its forecast, predicting a slower interest rate cut cycle by the Bank of England than the market expects. NIESR anticipates that economic recovery will accelerate, prompting the BoE to maintain higher interest rates for…

1
Bank of England cuts rates for the first time in four years 7:44

6M ago7:44

7:44

The Bank of England ("BoE") recently made its first rate cut in over four years, stirring cautious optimism about the UK's economic future. Although BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill acknowledged an improved outlook, he noted the growth rate remains modest at around 1% annually from 2024 to 2026. The narrow 5-4 vote for the rate cut underscores persiste…

1
UK Chancellor is preparing for a challenging Autumn Budget 7:56

6M ago7:56

7:56

A Reuters poll showed most economists are expecting a Bank of England ("BoE") interest rate cut, with mixed UK data causing some to push expectations from August to September. The absence of comments from BoE Governor, Andrew Bailey, due to the election, has deprived the market of crucial signals. Despite a two-month high in the UK's purchasing man…

1
Global IT outage disrupts businesses and services worldwide 7:24

6M ago7:24

7:24

On Friday, a global IT outage linked to issues with a CrowdStrike cybersecurity update affecting Microsoft software disrupted businesses and services worldwide. In the UK, train companies, major airlines, airports and GP surgeries experienced significant disruptions, with Edinburgh and Birmingham airports particularly affected. Financial sectors we…

1
Service sector bolsters strongest GDP growth since January 7:35

7M ago7:35

7:35

The latest UK gross domestic product (“GDP”) estimate showed a 0.4% expansion in May, surpassing expectations due to growth in industrial production, services and construction. Over the past three months, GDP grew by 0.9%, the strongest since January 2022, with services contributing significantly. This aligns with purchasing managers index data, hi…

1
Labour's landslide brings political and economic stability 7:10

7M ago7:10

7:10

Recent updates indicate an optimistic shift in the UK economy. KPMG has revised its gross domestic product growth forecast for 2024 from 0.3% to 0.5% and projects 0.9% growth for 2025. This is supported by anticipated Bank of England (“BoE”) rate cuts, potentially reducing the bank rate to 3% next year. This economic boost is further aided by polit…

1
UK Economy is showing mixed signals, the US market wobbles and first-time homeowners experience a mortgage squeeze 7:12

7M ago7:12

7:12

Last week, the UK's economic landscape presented a nuanced view. The Office for National Statistics revised first quarter gross domestic product ("GDP") growth up to 0.7%. Growth was driven by robust expansions in services and production, despite the construction sector experiencing a decline. Despite a 0.7% positive uptick in real household dispos…

1
Bank of England's quantitative tightening policy came under scrutiny 7:45

7M ago7:45

7:45

UK inflation continued to ease in May, with the headline rate at 2.0% year-on-year, down from 2.3% in the 12 months to April, marking the lowest rate since July 2021. Core inflation was 3.5%, while services prices remained high at 5.7%. The largest downward pressure came from food prices, while motor fuels and transport costs drove inflation up. Th…

1
Bank of England holds rates and wages outpace inflation 6:38

7M ago6:38

6:38

UK unemployment grew and wage growth stabilised last week after UK labour market data presented a mixed economic outlook. The May unemployment claimant count increased by 50,400, increasing the unemployment rate to 4.4%. Payrolled workers dropped by 3,000, and vacancies declined by 12,000 to 904,000. Despite these signs of a cooling job market, ave…

1
British Chamber of Commerce predicts UK Bank Rate to stand at 4.75% by the end of 2024 6:43

8M ago6:43

6:43

UK inflation expectations continue to ease with the Citi/YouGov inflation tracker for May showing a decline to 3.1%, ahead of expectations and the lowest since July 2021. The Bank of England’s ("BOE") Decision Maker Panel survey indicated steady short-term inflation expectations but noted a potential stall in the disinflationary process. Encouragin…

1
UK inflation surprise: lower but sticky, Bank of England holds steady 6:59

8M ago6:59

6:59

The Bank of England's ("BOE") outgoing Deputy Governor, Ben Broadbent, defended the bank’s policy-making process against accusations of groupthink, highlighting robust discussions at meetings. While acknowledging progress on inflation, Broadbent hinted at possible rate cuts ahead of the BOE's next meeting in the coming months. Meanwhile, there has …

1
Hopes of a Bank of England rate cut fades as UK Inflation Surprises and US markets power on 7:15

8M ago7:15

7:15

UK inflation eased sharply in April to 2.3% year-on-year, surpassing market consensus and Bank of England (“BOE”) forecasts of 2.1%, marking the lowest rate since summer 2021. While gas and electricity prices declined, motor fuel prices increased, slightly offsetting the downward pressure. However, core inflation remained sticky, recording a 3.9% f…

1
Sterling Slump Boosts Exports: Can the UK Stock Market Keep Surging? 7:15

8M ago7:15

7:15

There is a continued expectation that the Bank of England ("BOE") will be cautious in lowering interest rates, unlike during past rate-cutting cycles. Bloomberg and Reuters reported concerns about inflation reaccelerating if rates are lowered too quickly due to past downturns such as those in 1998, 2001 and 2008. Markets are currently pricing in th…

1
John Wood Group shares surge 28.8% on takeover approach 7:12

9M ago7:12

7:12

Last week, the Bank of England ("BOE") decided to maintain interest rates at 5.25%. However, two out of nine officials from the Monetary Policy Committee ("MPC") voted in favour of an interest rate cut, demonstrating a more dovish view and increasing market expectations for a rate cut in June. This shift was predominantly driven by macroeconomic fo…

1
A Tale of Two Cities: Contrasting Market Signals in the UK and the US 7:42

9M ago7:42

7:42

In anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s (“Fed”) upcoming policy decision, the FTSE 100 and gilt yields saw modest increases. This decision is expected to influence the Bank of England's (“BOE”) interest rate strategy. Currently, UK markets have dialled back interest rate expectations, predicting only 0.38% in cuts this year, with the first adjustm…

1
London's global financial hub status under threat 6:55

9M ago6:55

6:55

Last week saw economists divided over the timing of the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Bank of England (“BOE”). A Reuters poll revealed a division between forecasts for a June cut and a delay until the third quarter. Despite inflation easing to 3.2% year-on-year in March, slightly above the expected 3.1%, persistent service prices and wage g…

1
The Bank of England is poised for potential interest rate cuts ahead of the Federal Reserve 7:05

9M ago7:05

7:05

As inflation dynamics diverge between the UK and the US, the Bank of England (“BOE”) is poised for potential interest rate cuts ahead of the Federal Reserve. Bloomberg reports that the momentum of lowering inflation in the UK, with further easing expected, bolsters the case for a summer rate cut. Despite warnings from BOE Monetary Policy Committee …

1
Bank of England uses 'out-of-date' software to make economic forecasts 6:08

10M ago6:08

6:08

The former Chair of the US Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, has offered a candid assessment of the Bank of England's ("BOE") forecasting processes, highlighting shortcomings such as outdated modelling software and staff carrying out manual functions which could be automated. While providing recommendations for improvement, Bernanke stopped short of a…

1
Bank of England suggests moderation in wage and inflation forecasts 7:24

10M ago7:24

7:24

Amidst evolving economic indicators and shifting market sentiments, the Bank of England's (“BOE”) latest Decision Maker Panel survey indicates a moderation in both inflation and wage forecasts. The survey highlights a decline in year-ahead own price inflation to 4.1% in the three months to March, down from 4.3% in February, suggesting a slight easi…

1
A surge in cash allocations towards UK stocks 7:02

10M ago7:02

7:02

Amidst recent economic data demonstrating a challenging landscape, the UK economy finds itself navigating through uncertain waters. Official figures released by Reuters last week confirmed that the UK economy slipped into a shallow recession last year, with gross domestic product ("GDP") contracting by 0.1% in the second quarter last year and 0.3% …

1
Interest rates maintained at 5.25% signalling caution 7:36

10M ago7:36

7:36

The Bank of England (“BOE”) last week announced its decision to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 5.25%, signalling a cautious approach amidst evolving economic conditions. However, recent developments in the UK's economic landscape have sparked speculation about potential shifts in monetary policy. With headline inflation easing to 3.4% in F…

1
The UK housing market exhibits signs of stabilising and cautious optimism 7:18

11M ago7:18

7:18

As the financial world braces for the Bank of England's (“BOE”) meeting on 21st March, analysts are closely scrutinising signals of potential policy shifts. Despite nearing the 2% inflation target, the consensus among experts, as indicated by Reuters polling, suggests that the BOE is likely to maintain a status quo on interest rates for the time be…

1
Battle lines are drawn on tax and public services 7:46

11M ago7:46

7:46

UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt unveiled a 2% reduction in the main rate of National Insurance contributions in the Spring Budget, in line with expectations. These adjustments were supported by upgraded forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility, with revised gross domestic product projections of 0.8% in 2024 and 1.9% in 2025. However, an articl…

1
Jeremy Hunt revealed plans to prioritise "smart tax cuts" in the upcoming Budget 7:47

11M ago7:47

7:47

Bank of England (“BOE”) Deputy Governor, Sir Dave Ramsden asserted this week that inflation pressures in the UK remain too high, emphasising the need for more evidence of easing before contemplating a cut in interest rates. Additionally, Ramsden suggested the possibility of the BOE selling all UK government bonds purchased under Quantitative Easing…

1
Exclusive: YO1 Radio Interview with Alan Kinnaird 16:41

11M ago16:41

16:41

Dale Bartleson of YO1 Radio in York sits down and chats with Alan Kinnaird of Walker Crips Investment Management. 📞 Get in touch To find out more about the full range of services Walker Crips Investment Management has to offer please click here to request a call back from Alan Kinnaird, Chartered FCSI, or another member of the team based in our Yor…

1
Surge in UK real wages seen as potential driver for economic recovery 7:09

11M ago7:09

7:09

Recent statements from Bank of England ("BOE") officials indicate a reluctance to ease their inflation-fighting stance, despite confirming a technical recession late last year. Chief economist, Huw Pill, emphasised the need for several more months of data before being convinced that inflation would fall and remain at the BOE’s 2% target. Monetary P…

1
Economists forecast inflation falling below Bank of England's 2% target by April 6:40

11M ago6:40

6:40

UK inflation data released last week provided a surprise as headline inflation remained steady at 4% year-on-year, defying expectations for a slight increase. The core Consumer Price Index ("CPI") was also below forecast at 5.1%. Monthly CPI figures declined 0.6%, contrasting with the anticipated 0.3% drop. Despite services inflation persisting at …

1
UK witnesses the strongest services sector performance since May 2023 7:42

12M ago7:42

7:42

In a week of diverse developments, the Bank of England ("BOE") conveyed a nuanced stance on interest rates. Deputy Chief Breeden's speech on Wednesday suggested waning concerns about the necessity of future rate hikes as inflationary pressures ease. This sentiment resonated with the BOE's recent policy statement, indicating a potential review of th…

1
Monetary Policy Committee split three ways over interest rate change 6:53

12M ago6:53

6:53

Last week the Bank of England (“BOE”) voted to keep interest rates steady at 5.25%. The decision represented a rare divergence of opinion with the Monetary Policy Committee split three ways, for the first time since the 2008 financial crisis. Two committee members advocated for a 0.25% interest rate hike, another voted for a 0.25% interest rate cut…

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